feat: D16 adjudication — 2v2 stays hypothesis until a rule fires

AGENTS.md

@@ -48,7 +48,7 @@ bin/postgres/ query.go (read-only YAML)
 bin/git/      import.go (go-git history; Python shim execs it)
 bin/web/      search.go (SearXNG; Python shim execs it)
 bin/reasoner/ bakeoff.go (D18 CPU OpenAI tool-call bake-off)
-internal/     shared Go (brain/rank is cgo-free; chats parsers; gitlog; websearch; reasoner; duckstats)
+internal/     shared Go (brain/rank is cgo-free; facts D16; chats; gitlog; websearch; reasoner; duckstats)
 bin/qa/       stats.go (DuckDB quantiles / JSONL count; gcc CGO, not Zig)
 bin/watch/    corpus watcher (used by bin/brain/watch.go)
 bin/tools/    vendored python libs behind bin/* (kblib, yamlout, websearch)
@@ -84,7 +84,7 @@ bin/brain/index.go --rebuild --with-facts --with-chats
 ## Tools
 
 ```bash
-bin/facts/audit.go ["self"|"facts"|"info"|"stale"]  # 2-source + staleness gate
+bin/facts/audit.go ["self"|"db"|"contradict"]     # 2-source + D16 adjudication
 bin/facts/crm.go [--dry-run]                       # proof person↔company/company↔project (ooCRM × corpus SoT)
 bin/kb/search "query" [--repo X]                  # deprecated wrapper → bin/brain/search.go
 bin/brain/search.go "query" [--root facts|info]   # deduction search → YAML

PLAN.md

@@ -5,8 +5,10 @@ RAG over the operational Brain/ops/eSlider stack. Built like Sherlock
 Holmes: nothing is asserted unless it has proof.
 
 Status: **v1 in** (epic [#16](https://git.produktor.io/eSlider/2dph/issues/16) closed).
-v2 board: milestone [v2](https://git.produktor.io/eSlider/2dph/milestone/13) — OCR [#6](https://git.produktor.io/eSlider/2dph/issues/6),
-[#29](https://git.produktor.io/eSlider/2dph/issues/29) OQ1, [#30](https://git.produktor.io/eSlider/2dph/issues/30) OQ3.
+v2 board: milestone [v2](https://git.produktor.io/eSlider/2dph/milestone/13) —
+OCR [#6](https://git.produktor.io/eSlider/2dph/issues/6) in,
+[#29](https://git.produktor.io/eSlider/2dph/issues/29) OQ1 in,
+[#30](https://git.produktor.io/eSlider/2dph/issues/30) OQ3 in.
 Gap: [docs/roadmap.md](docs/roadmap.md).
 
 ## What
@@ -42,7 +44,7 @@ detective method: **a fact needs ≥2 independent sources or it is
 | D13 | portfolio | start graph `(Person:eslider)-[:HAS]->(Portfolio)`, associate other natural/juristic persons later. |
 | D14 | tooling style | `bin/{subject}/{method}.go` shebang (e.g. `bin/brain/search.go`). Shared code in `internal/`. One root `go.mod` + `go.work`. No `bin/*/main.go`, no nested modules. |
 | D15 | repo | Gitea [`eSlider/2dph`](https://git.produktor.io/eSlider/2dph) is origin + [issues](https://git.produktor.io/eSlider/2dph/issues). GitHub `eSlider/2dph` is the public clone (PRs + Actions CI). No direct `main` pushes. TDD → PR → CI green → merge. |
-| D16 | contradictions | ≥2 yes vs ≥2 no → unrelated sources conflict → hypothesis → `(not confirmed)`. Resolution (authority, staleness adjudication) = **v2**, tracked as open question. |
+| D16 | contradictions | ≥2 yes vs ≥2 no → hypothesis → `(not confirmed)` until a rule fires. Order: **temporal_freshness** (fresh ≥2 vs stale minority), then **authority_pairing** (runtime/config A×B beats narrative C). Store as `a x b vs c x d` on hypothesis leafs. `bin/facts/audit contradict`. [#29](https://git.produktor.io/eSlider/2dph/issues/29). |
 | D17 | assertion gate | Fact-check every *claim* (facts → info → live → web), not every edit. `bin/brain/search.go` adds a `web` block when there is no facts hit (`throttled`/`skipped`/`refused` ≠ absence). `--root` and `--no-web` stay local. Missing graph ≠ “does not exist”. |
 | D18 | reasoner | Pluggable OpenAI-compatible URL (`REASONER_BASE_URL`). RAM: `Qwen/Qwen3.5-9B`. Quality: `prism-ml/Bonsai-27B-gguf` or `Qwen/Qwen3.6-27B`. No official Qwen3.6-9B. CPU bake-off: `bin/reasoner/bakeoff.go` + compose profile `reasoner` (`OLLAMA_NUM_GPU=0`, `:11435`). PicoClaw is compose profile `picoclaw`; tools are `search`/`get`/`audit`. Weights are not copied into the 2dph image. Agent lever/loop: [#15](https://git.produktor.io/eSlider/2dph/issues/15). |
 | D19 | git history | [go-git](https://github.com/go-git/go-git) via `bin/git/import.go`. No subprocess of the git binary. Conversion prints commit leafs; brain write is `bin/brain/index.go`. |
@@ -117,8 +119,8 @@ Common props on every node/edge: `root`, `confidence`, `evidence[]`, `how`,
 
 ## Open questions (v2)
 
-- OQ1: mutually-contradicting evidence — how to resolve (authority weighting,
-  temporal freshness, audit adjudication). **v2**; [#29](https://git.produktor.io/eSlider/2dph/issues/29).
+- OQ1: **in** — D16 adjudication: `temporal_freshness` then `authority_pairing`.
+  Unresolved 2v2 stays hypothesis. [#29](https://git.produktor.io/eSlider/2dph/issues/29).
 - OQ2: OCR — **in**. `pdftotext -layout` first; scans `pdftoppm` + tesseract
   `eng+deu` (`bin/mail/ocr.go`, `internal/ocr`). No gocv, no gosseract CGO
   (D21 Zig owns Ladybug CGO). Optional `OCR_ENGINE=paddle` / compose profile
@@ -184,4 +186,4 @@ Narrative: [docs/roadmap.md](docs/roadmap.md).
 | 4 | [#15](https://git.produktor.io/eSlider/2dph/issues/15) | **in** — lever/loop documented (`search` → `get` → `audit`). |
 | 5 | [#19](https://git.produktor.io/eSlider/2dph/issues/19) | **in** — CI recall SoT is `bin/brain/eval.go` via Zig. Python `bin/kb/eval` stays as an explicit fallback. |
 
-Does **not** block epic close: OQ1 [#29](https://git.produktor.io/eSlider/2dph/issues/29), OQ3 [#30](https://git.produktor.io/eSlider/2dph/issues/30), OQ4. OCR [#6](https://git.produktor.io/eSlider/2dph/issues/6) is **in**.
+Does **not** block epic close: OQ4. OCR [#6](https://git.produktor.io/eSlider/2dph/issues/6), OQ1 [#29](https://git.produktor.io/eSlider/2dph/issues/29), OQ3 [#30](https://git.produktor.io/eSlider/2dph/issues/30) are **in**.

bin/facts/audit

@@ -1,14 +1,15 @@
 #!/usr/bin/env python3
 """facts/audit - evidence & lexicon checks for the 2dph brain.
 
-  bin/facts/audit self      # lexicon: every fact in db has >=2 sources
-  bin/facts/audit db        # evidence gate: run against var/kb.lbug
+  bin/facts/audit self         # lexicon: docs + two-source rule
+  bin/facts/audit db           # evidence gate against var/kb.lbug
+  bin/facts/audit contradict   # D16 adjudication (JSON claim(s) on stdin)
 
-`self` mode checks the repo itself (no network, no runtime deps). It greps
-for known-good two-source pairings and confirms the docs are consistent.
-`db` mode loads every Leaf with root=facts and asserts each has source_rev
-and a non-empty `loc` (the "where did you see it" evidence pointer) and that
-'confirmed' facts carry a two-source `source` field.
+`self` mode checks the repo itself (no network, no runtime deps).
+`db` mode loads every Leaf with root=facts. Confirmed facts need ` x `;
+hypothesis contradictions need `a x b vs c x d` (both sides ≥2).
+`contradict` applies temporal_freshness then authority_pairing; ≥2 vs ≥2
+with no rule stays hypothesis / `(not confirmed)`.
 
 Exit 0 = all checks pass, 1 = audit failures, 2 = could not evaluate.
 """
@@ -22,6 +23,8 @@ from pathlib import Path
 ROOT = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[2]
 sys.path.insert(0, str(ROOT / "bin" / "tools"))
 
+from contradict import adjudicate, check_fact_row  # noqa: E402
+
 
 def audit_db() -> list[str]:
     from kblib import connect
@@ -33,14 +36,8 @@ def audit_db() -> list[str]:
     r = conn.execute("MATCH (l:Leaf {root:'facts'}) RETURN l.id, l.source, l.loc, l.how, l.confidence")
     problems: list[str] = []
     for lid, source, loc, how, conf in r.get_all():
-        if conf != "confirmed":
-            problems.append(f"{lid}: facts require confidence='confirmed', got '{conf}'")
-        if not source or " x " not in source:
-            problems.append(f"{lid}: needs 2-source evidence in source, got '{source}'")
-        if not loc:
-            problems.append(f"{lid}: missing loc (evidence pointer)")
-        if not how:
-            problems.append(f"{lid}: missing how")
+        problems.extend(check_fact_row(str(lid), str(source or ""), str(loc or ""),
+                                       str(how or ""), str(conf or "")))
     conn.close()
     db.close()
     return problems
@@ -54,20 +51,50 @@ def audit_self() -> list[str]:
         problems.append("PLAN.md missing recall@5 gate")
     if re.search(r"(?i)facts must have.*2 sources|2.source", plan) is None:
         problems.append("PLAN.md missing the two-source evidence rule for facts")
+    if "temporal_freshness" not in plan or "authority_pairing" not in plan:
+        problems.append("PLAN.md missing D16 adjudication rules")
     if re.search(r"(?i)HNSW|BM25|deduction", (ROOT / "README.md").read_text()) is None:
         problems.append("README.md missing search/retrieval description")
     return problems
 
 
+def audit_contradict(raw: str) -> tuple[list[str], list[dict]]:
+    raw = raw.strip()
+    if not raw:
+        return ["contradict: empty stdin (JSON claim or {claims:[...]})"], []
+    try:
+        payload = json.loads(raw)
+    except json.JSONDecodeError as e:
+        return [f"contradict: invalid JSON: {e}"], []
+    if isinstance(payload, dict) and "claims" in payload:
+        claims = list(payload.get("claims") or [])
+    elif isinstance(payload, dict):
+        claims = [payload]
+    elif isinstance(payload, list):
+        claims = payload
+    else:
+        return ["contradict: expected object or list"], []
+    details = [adjudicate(c) for c in claims]
+    return [], details
+
+
 def main(argv: list[str]) -> int:
     import argparse
     p = argparse.ArgumentParser(description="evidence & lexicon audit")
-    p.add_argument("mode", choices=("self", "db"))
+    p.add_argument("mode", choices=("self", "db", "contradict"))
     p.add_argument("--json", action="store_true")
     a = p.parse_args(argv)
 
-    problems = audit_self() if a.mode == "self" else audit_db()
-    out = {"mode": a.mode, "ok": not problems, "problems": problems}
+    details: list[dict] = []
+    if a.mode == "self":
+        problems = audit_self()
+    elif a.mode == "db":
+        problems = audit_db()
+    else:
+        problems, details = audit_contradict(sys.stdin.read())
+    out: dict = {"mode": a.mode, "ok": not problems, "problems": problems}
+    if details:
+        out["contradictions"] = details
     if a.json:
         print(json.dumps(out, indent=2))
     else:
@@ -77,4 +104,4 @@ def main(argv: list[str]) -> int:
 
 
 if __name__ == "__main__":
-    sys.exit(main(sys.argv[1:]))
+    sys.exit(main(sys.argv[1:]))

bin/facts/audit.go

@@ -5,6 +5,7 @@
 //
 //	./bin/facts/audit.go self
 //	./bin/facts/audit.go db
+//	./bin/facts/audit.go contradict --json < claim.json
 //
 // Python bin/facts/audit is the implementation (CI runs it directly).
 // NOTE: never run `gofmt -w` on this file — it breaks the shebang.

bin/tools/contradict.py

@@ -0,0 +1,103 @@
+"""D16 contradiction adjudication (same rules as internal/facts)."""
+from __future__ import annotations
+
+from typing import Any
+
+CONF_CONFIRMED = "confirmed"
+CONF_HYPOTHESIS = "hypothesis"
+
+RULE_UNRESOLVED = "unresolved"
+RULE_TEMPORAL = "temporal_freshness"
+RULE_AUTHORITY = "authority_pairing"
+RULE_TWO_SOURCE = "two_source"
+RULE_SINGLE = "single_source"
+
+KIND_RUNTIME = "runtime"
+KIND_CONFIG = "config"
+KIND_NARRATIVE = "narrative"
+
+
+def _independent(sources: list[dict]) -> int:
+    seen: set[str] = set()
+    for i, s in enumerate(sources):
+        sid = str(s.get("id") or "") or f"{s.get('kind', '')}#{i}"
+        seen.add(sid)
+    return len(seen)
+
+
+def _fresh_n(sources: list[dict]) -> int:
+    return sum(1 for s in sources if not s.get("stale"))
+
+
+def _strong_n(sources: list[dict]) -> int:
+    return sum(1 for s in sources if s.get("kind") in (KIND_RUNTIME, KIND_CONFIG))
+
+
+def adjudicate(claim: dict[str, Any]) -> dict[str, Any]:
+    yes = list(claim.get("yes") or [])
+    no = list(claim.get("no") or [])
+    yes_n, no_n = _independent(yes), _independent(no)
+    text = str(claim.get("text") or "")
+
+    def out(conf: str, rule: str, winner: str = "") -> dict[str, Any]:
+        return {
+            "text": text,
+            "confidence": conf,
+            "confirmed": conf == CONF_CONFIRMED,
+            "rule": rule,
+            "winner": winner,
+            "yes": yes_n,
+            "no": no_n,
+        }
+
+    if yes_n < 2 or no_n < 2:
+        if yes_n >= 2:
+            return out(CONF_CONFIRMED, RULE_TWO_SOURCE, "yes")
+        if no_n >= 2:
+            return out(CONF_CONFIRMED, RULE_TWO_SOURCE, "no")
+        return out(CONF_HYPOTHESIS, RULE_SINGLE)
+    yf, nf = _fresh_n(yes), _fresh_n(no)
+    if yf >= 2 and nf < 2:
+        return out(CONF_CONFIRMED, RULE_TEMPORAL, "yes")
+    if nf >= 2 and yf < 2:
+        return out(CONF_CONFIRMED, RULE_TEMPORAL, "no")
+    ys, ns = _strong_n(yes), _strong_n(no)
+    if ys >= 2 and ns < 2:
+        return out(CONF_CONFIRMED, RULE_AUTHORITY, "yes")
+    if ns >= 2 and ys < 2:
+        return out(CONF_CONFIRMED, RULE_AUTHORITY, "no")
+    return out(CONF_HYPOTHESIS, RULE_UNRESOLVED)
+
+
+def parse_source_field(source: str) -> tuple[str, str]:
+    """Split `a x b vs c x d` into (yes, no). Empty no if no ` vs `."""
+    if " vs " not in source:
+        return source, ""
+    yes, _, no = source.partition(" vs ")
+    return yes.strip(), no.strip()
+
+
+def check_fact_row(lid: str, source: str, loc: str, how: str, conf: str) -> list[str]:
+    """Lexicon checks for one facts leaf (no Ladybug)."""
+    problems: list[str] = []
+    src = source or ""
+    if conf == CONF_CONFIRMED:
+        if " vs " in src:
+            problems.append(f"{lid}: confirmed fact cannot keep a vs-contradiction")
+        if " x " not in src:
+            problems.append(f"{lid}: needs 2-source evidence in source, got '{source}'")
+    elif conf == CONF_HYPOTHESIS:
+        yes, no = parse_source_field(src)
+        if not no or " x " not in yes or " x " not in no:
+            problems.append(
+                f"{lid}: hypothesis contradiction needs 'a x b vs c x d', got '{source}'"
+            )
+    elif conf == "partial":
+        pass
+    else:
+        problems.append(f"{lid}: unknown confidence '{conf}'")
+    if not loc:
+        problems.append(f"{lid}: missing loc (evidence pointer)")
+    if not how:
+        problems.append(f"{lid}: missing how")
+    return problems

bin/tools/test_bin_layout.py

@@ -127,6 +127,22 @@ def test_facts_methods_are_shebangs(self) -> None:
             self.assertIn("cmdbin.ExecFile", text)
             self.assertIn(f"bin/facts/{method.removesuffix('.go')}", text)
 
+    def test_d16_adjudication_is_cgo_free(self) -> None:
+        self.assertTrue((ROOT / "internal" / "facts" / "contradict.go").is_file())
+        go = (ROOT / "internal" / "facts" / "contradict.go").read_text()
+        py = (ROOT / "bin" / "tools" / "contradict.py").read_text()
+        audit = (ROOT / "bin" / "facts" / "audit").read_text()
+        for token in ("temporal_freshness", "authority_pairing", "unresolved"):
+            self.assertIn(token, go)
+            self.assertIn(token, py)
+        self.assertIn("contradict", audit)
+        self.assertIn(" vs ", py)
+        plan = (ROOT / "PLAN.md").read_text()
+        self.assertIn("temporal_freshness", plan)
+        self.assertIn("authority_pairing", plan)
+        shebang = (ROOT / "bin" / "facts" / "audit.go").read_text()
+        self.assertIn("contradict", shebang)
+
     def test_mail_import_is_shebang_not_brain_write(self) -> None:
         self._assert_shebang("bin/mail/import.go")
         index_mail = (ROOT / "bin" / "mail" / "index_mail").read_text()