feat(#569): implement Predictive Account Activity Modeling#710
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feat(#569): implement Predictive Account Activity Modeling#710Meme11030 wants to merge 1 commit into
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- Add accountActivityModeling.ts with behavioral prediction engine: - Weighted exponential smoothing with recencyBias for trend tracking - Day-of-week + hour-of-day seasonality multipliers - Logistic (sigmoid) active-probability estimation per period - Calendar event integration with activity multiplier support - Pattern detection: daily (hour-of-day), weekly (day-of-week), monthly (day-of-month) recurring activity patterns - 24×7 activity heatmap generation (hour × day-of-week grid) - Proactive notification system: high activity, inactivity, pattern change, and calendar event notifications - Behavior change detection: adapts model when recent activity deviates >30% from historical baseline - Leave-one-out accuracy estimation (20% holdout) - Utility to bucket Stellar operation records into ActivityRecords - API routes: POST /analyze, /predict, /patterns, /heatmap, /notifications, /accuracy, /convert (all under /api/v1/activity) - 43 unit tests, all passing Acceptance criteria met: - Activity predictions with confidence intervals per horizon (day/week/month) - Recurring pattern identification (daily, weekly, monthly) - Calendar event integration for scheduled activity - Proactive notification system - Model adapts to behavior changes
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Acceptance criteria met:
closes Predictive Account Activity Modeling #569